USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service posted Grain and Feed Update MX2026-0045 (Mexico City, Sept. 23, 2026), forecasting lower Mexico corn, rice, and sorghum production in marketing year 2026/27 under weak profitability, elevated input costs, and erratic weather, with corn, wheat, and rice imports rising as domestic output falls short of demand. The United States is expected to remain the main supplier of Mexico’s grain and feed imports.
Trade summaries of the update put Mexico’s MY 2026/27 corn production near 24.5 million metric tons, down nearly 2% year on year, with corn imports near 26.8 MMT (up more than 2%) and total corn consumption near 52.4 MMT (up nearly 3%), driven mainly by livestock — especially poultry and hog — feed demand. For MY 2025/26, FAS figures cited in trade coverage put the United States at about 99% of Mexico’s roughly 21.4 MMT of corn imports (Brazil ~1%), with yellow corn about 98% of the import mix and white corn about 2%.
FAS messaging stresses year-round U.S. availability, quality, logistics, and competitive pricing versus alternative origins. Wheat and rice balances also shift toward higher imports in the update; sorghum imports are projected lower on reduced livestock use of that grain.
For U.S. wholesale tortilla and masa readers, the brief is a cross-border corn-balance watch — not a white-maize retail price call. Yellow-dominated imports feed Mexico’s livestock complex; white-corn inventories and local tortillería prices remain a separate but related Mexico input signal (see prior Tortilla News SADER and Puebla/Morelos briefs). Read the USDA FAS GAIN page for the official attaché summary and linked report.
USDA FAS